Predictions Anyone?

Part of this prediction business is comparing scores, and you can get in trouble doing that. Every game is different with its own issues.

Teams don’t typically stay the same. They get better or worse over the course of the year. I didn’t think Arkansas wins against Auburn and Kentucky were enough to make me thing the Hogs were the top 10 team they’d been rated in preseason, but I thought they were definitely better.

That being said, it was impressive that Ole Miss could go on the road with less than its A game and come out with a win against  a good team, not a great team.

Arkansas, by the way, lost a key weapon in tight end Chris Gragg against Ole Miss, and it wouldn’t be a total shocker if it lost this week at home against a high-power Tulsa offense.

Back to the Rebels. This weekend is not a game in which they can play less than the top of their game and expect to win.

There’s lots of talent on this Georgia team, so much so that it’s kind of a head-scratcher when you see a 35-7 loss to South Carolina and a win of only 29-24 over Kentucky. Had the Wildcats recovered a late on-side kick, they might have pulled off a stunner.

For the Rebels to pull off a stunner they’re going to need a little bit of that unfocused Georgia team, not the one that had its best defensive performance of the year as did the Bulldogs last week in a 17-9 win over previously unbeaten Florida.

Ole Miss needs to play turnover-free — something its done only once this season — and needs to revive a run game that was taken away by Arkansas.

If the Rebels can have success with Jeff Scott on the ground, the passing game will be easier for Bo Wallace. For his part, Wallace needs to make the right reads in the run game and get the ball out of his hand quickly to avoid the rush of Georgia linebacker Jarvis Jones, who has 8.5 sacks on the season and is the reigning SEC Defensive Player of the Week.

Defensively, the Rebels are going to have to fit their gaps. They’ve gotten better with that since the Texas game, but fits alone won’t get the job done. After they bunch-up the middle, the Rebels are going to have to be fast enough to catch up with Georgia’s Todd Gurley, the third-leading rusher in the SEC, when he bounces the play outside. That’s been a problem for Ole Miss.

At the end of the day, Georgia’s going to have more talent. That means as good as Ole Miss plays, it’s going to need some help from the Bulldogs. A little hangover from the world’s largest outdoor cocktail party would be a good thing.

I think Georgia realizes how close it is to returning to the SEC championship game, and I don’t expect the Bulldogs to be flat.

But I think the Rebels play a solid game and keep it close.

Prediction: Georgia 28, Ole Miss 24

Denham Springs, La., native, Mississippian since 1989 with a stop in Meridian before arriving in Tupelo. Daily Journal beat writer since 1996, covering Ole Miss since 2002. Proud Northeast Louisiana alum. Follow me on Twitter @parrishalford and listen to Kory Keys and myself daily with The Ole Miss Beat on Rebel Sports Radio.

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  • http://www.facebook.com/larry.box Larry Box

    I think Georgia may have a bit of a let down after Florida, but not enough. The Rebs will continue to play hard, but there’s too much talent on the Georgia sidelines. Georgia 28 Rebels 20

  • http://www.facebook.com/jimmyw.barbee Jimmy W Barbee

    Georgia 37 Ole Miss17

  • rcpylon

    Georgia 20 Ole Miss 17

  • http://www.facebook.com/jimmyw.barbee Jimmy W Barbee

    This is a very important game for Ole Miss, a victory here and a bowl game later on. That’s something the Rebels haven’t had the pleasure of in some times. I hope a victory here but its doubtful.

    • SeattleReb

      Doubtful but not beyond the realm of ‘real’ possibility. Also, not sure if you realize it but Ole Miss has not made a bowl appearance over the course of (just) the past two seasons…..too long but not as you mentioned in ‘some time’…giving the appearance it had been quite a while (Ole Miss’ past 3 Bowl were COTTON BOWLS & Each had the SAME outcome, an Ole Miss VICTORY!!!)

  • http://twitter.com/OleMissPtocReb Brian McCoy

    Sounds like our team is pretty beat up this week.
    Predictions:
    Bo Wallace throws for over 300 yards.
    Randall Mackey has 200 AP Yards.
    Trae Elston has a pick 6.
    Bryson Rose puts it away at the end.

    Ole Miss 41
    Georgia 38

    I also predict that all of my predictions will be wrong.

  • http://www.facebook.com/matt.lambert.31 Matt Lambert

    What a bunch of Debbie Downers……

  • http://www.facebook.com/matt.lambert.31 Matt Lambert

    Flashback Thursday: Saturday, November 23, 2006 – a 4-5 Georgia Bulldog team, fresh off THE FIRST OVERTIME IN SEC HISTORY, a win at Auburn in 4 overtimes, take on a Stewart Patridge led Ole Miss Rebel club between the hedges in Athens. The Rebels were able to defeat the Bulldogs in a surprise, only because of the lopsided nature of the series in Athens. Patridge made a name for himself as the QB situation was completely unstable unto that point. The Ole Miss defense made play after play in the 31-27 victory. That same season, UGA had lost games against Mississippi Southern, Kentucky, and were blown out 3 weeks prior by a Florida Gator team 47-7, the eventual National champions.
    Snap back to the present – Rebs have to have tremendous confidence after going on the road and beating an SEC opponent, regardless of record, score, or venue, none of us were predicting a win in LR at the beginning of this season. Just as the Israelites were able to make progress towards the promised land, they continued to have trials, tribulation, and setbacks – and even though the Rebs will play 60 minutes, it will feel as though we made a stepback only on the scoreboard. As “Rack-em Willie” would say, “If your going to fight the Bulldawgs, your going to feel the Bulldawg bite” in which I’m afraid both teams will feel the bite of the other this weekend in a Nationally Televised warm-up to 2012′s “The Game.” I like the way things “feel” going into them, but I see this as a stretch to get the W. Surprise, surprise, right?
    Dawgs 38
    Rebs 24

  • http://www.facebook.com/matt.lambert.31 Matt Lambert

    And for the streakers in all of us….
    Georgia has beaten Ole Miss in the last 9 matchups. There was a stretch earlier in the series in which they had beaten us in 12 consecutive matchups. The longest win streak the Rebs have over the Dawgs, 2.
    Hotty Toddy!!!!

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